Saturday, 29 November 2014

Airlines Forecast for 01Dec2014

Let's do a bit of review on airline counters. 

DAL - Delta Air Line


DAL soar on Friday with a gap up and increase in volume. SGWiseInvestors is maintaining a Bullish view on this counter. we believe that counter will consolidate sideway and will gain strength for up move.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 47 support
Target price is 50.
Stop loss is 45.90.


AAL - American Airlines Group



AAL soar on Friday with a gap up and increase in volume. SGWiseInvestors is maintaining a Bullish view on this counter. we believe that counter will consolidate sideway and will gain strength for up move.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 47 support
Target price is 50. ( once drop we expect it to hit 43)
Stop loss is 46.90.


JBLU - Jetblue Airway Corp


JBL rose on Friday with a gap up and increase in volume. SGWiseInvestors is maintaining a Bullish view on this counter. we believe that counter will consolidate sideway and will gain strength for up move.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 14.24 support ( can buy at any price below 15)
Target price is 17.
Stop loss is 14.

Semi-Conductors Forecast for 01Dec2014

MU - Micron- UPRISING STAR!


SGWiseInvestors made a Buy call on this stock when it is at 33. This is because it breakout with good volume and thereafter volume has been consistent. We can say that more upside will be coming. Today volume is low and this may be due to Black Friday. We will like to see further confirmation on higher volume together with increase price to confirm that the run will continue.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 35 support.
Target price is 40.
Stoploss is 33.


INTC - Intel


If you ask me which one is better? MU or INTC? I will definitely say that MU is better. It is currently one of the stronger stock for SEMI-CONDUCTOR STOCK.You may ask me why? I will reveal some of my skill in analysing here. Look at every increase in price is showing a decrease in volume. Basically I can say there is lack of participation from SMART MONEY. If we are to see a morning star with high volume or dip with high volume you may want to exit this counter. For mid-long term investor, this is a good stock to add to your portfolio. The decrease in volume may indicate that the uptrend may retrace soon. This may indicate for buying opportunity as uptrend is intact.


FB - Facebook


Facebook is currently filling up the gap at 80. Note that that is the high previously. If there is no volume coming in then this means that FB will retrace and consolidate sideway. Whether it will breakout is all about volume coming in to push and support the price higher. Do note that there are high chance that it will retrace and continue higher as 10SMA and 30SMA is about to cross.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 80 with high volume ( not explosive volume)
Target is around 85
Stop loss is below 80. you may like to place it at 79.50. Once break we may see it drop to 76.



TWTR - Twitter


Nice uptrend from TWTR. We can see that the 10SMA and 30SMA is crossing as it narrows.
We should see volume coming in at slightly below 200SMA 44.10. It has to create a breakout in order to surpass the resistance to fill up the gap 48.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 44.11 ( support)
Target is 48
Stoploss is 44.

Chinese Semi-Conductor Stocks

WUBA – 58.com (SGWiseInvestors made Buy call on this since 16 Nov 2014)


This Chinese stock has great potential to run further. We made a call on this stock since 03 Nov 2014. However we see more room to upside. We should see it testing 55 in no time. There are buyer who has been secretly accumulating the stock. Do note the gap will be filled once it reached 50.

Recommended Price:
Buy at support 48.
Target price is 55.
Stop loss is 44.50.


BABA – Alibaba


This stock has create a lot of frustration to a lot of investors. You want to know whether if it will be breakout to the upside? It is currently in accumulation mode. There are decrease in the price together with decrease in volume. This indicate that there is a high chance that the stock is reversing soon.
We should see buyers and speculators coming in to push the price higher soon.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 110-112 support.
Target price is 120.
Stop loss is below 107.



QIHU– Qihoo 360 Technology


After the announcement of good 3rd quarter earnings, this stock bounced off the low at about 67 to 74
I can say that currently it will pause/consolidate for a while and soon it will break out to the upside. The chart is very similar to WUBA.

Recommended Price:
Buy at 77 when it turned support.
Target price is 87.
Stoploss is 72.

Forecast for 01 Dec 2014 to 05 Dec 2014

What happened over the past trading days?
U.S. stocks are mixed on Friday with energy shares under pressure after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries sent oil prices skidding.
OPEC’s decision to maintain its current production ceiling of 30 million barrels a day does little to remove the glut that is keeping oil prices low.

Next week forecast:
Short Term view 



NYA is a very good way to see the strength of Dow Jones. Combination with Mcclellan Oscillator will let me know the breadth and health. We can see that NYMO is showing that there is room to run. We are currently approaching the resistance 50. Once it is broken, we will see further strength and new high. The dip is coming with low volume. This might be due to Black Friday and Friday market ending early.


Long Term View


On the long term outlook of the Dow Jones, SGWiseInvestors are very Bullish as we can see that that there are rooms to run. We will not see any major crashes coming in the near term. Every dip right now are buying opportunity on mid-term to long-term. SGWiseInvestors will alert fans and readers if any crashes are coming. Stay tuned and keep checking on our blog. 


Gold outlook – Swiss Referendum on Gold 30 Nov 2014


With Swiss Referendum announcing on 30 Nov 2014, investors are awaiting on Swiss Vote. Market are expecting a “No” Vote. The gold are having a lot of volatility. On Friday trading period, there is a gap down and this is accompanied with increase volume. We will not expect any Big Buyers to come in to buy GOLD. SGWiseInvestors maintained a Bearish view on gold and will expect it to meet new lows. We may see the gold drop below 110. Might even be below 100 in GLD before we see more buyer coming in.


Brent Crude Oil – Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries


Brent Crude Oil is going lower. From the chart, we can see a Mid to Long Term downtrend. Volume increase since Oct 2014 and currently it is consolidating downwards. The dip with volume decrease that there may be short-term rebound. Every rebound is add to your short position. SGWiseInvestors maintained Bearish on Long Term until we see any volume/absorption volume with white candle as an indication of reversal.

Wednesday, 26 November 2014

Reviews on 26Nov2014

Technology Sector

AAPL - Apple


AAPL has a good run since 23 Oct 2014.From the above chart you can see that the resistance is at about 120. Volume increase with a bearish engulfing candle. This is a sign that there are people offload the stock at this level. This stock is suitable to buy on dip. What price to buy? The price to buy is around


 BABA - Alibaba


BABA is on the uptrend. There are absorption volume however the bear won the battle against the bull and bring the share below the opening price. The resistance is around 113 and 115. There is a need to break this resistance with high volume in order to test the high at 120. We have to wait for and see if SM will be in to bring this stock higher. Else we can see it test the support at 107. Lets wait and see.


GPRO - GoPro


GPRO is consolidating sideway. This is accompanied with increased in volume. We should see stock going higher testing resistance at 85. If we can see the volume increase as it approached resistance we should see it test high of 100. There are room to run.. Accumulation is undergoing.


FB - Facebook


FB had a good run yesterday. LOOK at the white body with the increase in volume. This is bullish. We should be seeing it crossing the first resistance at 76 and heading to 78 resistance. Thereafter the next resistance to test will be 80. We will have a high chance seeing it test 82. Lets see…


TWTR - Twitter


TWTR is currently consolidating sideway. However we can see that once it break 44 we should be seeing it test for 48. We should be seeing Smart Money coming in soon to push the price higher. This is one stock that can be bought for mid-term to long-term. 56 will be tested in months to come.


MU - Micron


MU has reduced volume as it approached 35. The stock likely not able to bypass the resistance as it is losing strength. It end off with a DOJI. We are glad to see not there is no high volume which indicate that there are selling. Smart Money are holding on to the stock and we should be seeing it bypass 35. Volume on the 26 Nov 2014 will indicate that there will be further run. We will have to wait for this confirmation.


INTC - Intel


INTC is about the same as MU. It is meeting resistance at 36.50 and there is an decrease in volume. This is a bad sign. Volume on the 26 Nov 2014 will indicate that there will be further run. We will have to wait for this confirmation.


NFLX - NetFlix


Good for those people who short this stock. NFLX is going to test for 330 low soon. The increase in the volume says so. Though there are some buying but the background for this stock is very bearish. There is a gap down yesterday. This prove that any up is a short. 


Financial Sector

MCO - MOODY


OMG.. This is one stock I used to have and will like to take a look at the chart. The volume is so huge and body is not long enough. There are selling behind and I believe that today there will be continuous selling. We should see this stock moving lower to 97.62. Any price above that is a buy. If the dip exceed that price, there may be reversal coming soon. Watch for continuous uptrend. DIP is a BUY!


C - CITIGROUP


As per my previous blog, I indicated that C is a good stock to have as I see a lot of buy candles. It is still at the midst of accumulation. Yesterday candle indicated that the accumulation is likely not over yet and we will likely see it go side-way once gain. Buy at support 53 if it ever test that again.


BAC - Bank of America


BAC is not able to pass 17.40 resistance given the volume. The support for this counter is at 16.8. If the selling persist and the counter dip below 16.8 we should see it going to 16.4. However I feel the stock is buyable if it does not dip below 16.9.


JPM – JP MORGAN


The dip in JPM is accompanied with high volume. This is genuine selling and not to buy it behind the scene. Uptrend is not broken yet. Aby dip below 59.52 is a reversal of uptrend. There are absorption volume at 59.52 range which shows that there are buying interest at that zone earlier. This is a critical area not to broken. Else we can expect more downturn…

Overall view for financial stock is bearish. I will not recommend any buying for this sector at the moment until I see this sector leading Dow Jones. If you are interested to know more about Sector analysis please look at my previous blog that I wrote


Consumer Sector

AMZN – AMAZON


AMZN is meeting resistance at 335 and it is low volume. We need volume to confirm more upside.

The stock is now consolidating at the tip which is a good news. Uptrend is intact. We should see the gap to 355 be filled up soon.


F –FORD


This is a big buy if it is able to cross the 200SMA with good volume. Yesterday candlestick is weak showing that there are a lot of selling. However, if volume can come in today with nice candlestick

we should say this is a buy signal. Target price will be 16.50 if the 200SMA is turned support.


TSLA - Tesla


This is now accumulating. We should see more upside after there is buying interest as shown absorption volume. Uptrend is still intact. However the volume is decreasing. We need increase in volume to have more upside and testing 255.


GOOG - Google


GOOG is showing continuous of uptrend. The price is undervalued. Short Term uptrend is intact. We should see it going higer and test resistance at 550 soon. If volume is not coming in, expect downtrend to come soon.

Tuesday, 25 November 2014

Company pick for the day

Lets see at the stock pick – now at company level

MU - MICRON


MU has an impressive run yesterday. We can see that it is closing at higher low. Do note that the volume is not decreasing. We can say that the MU is still very bullish and we can expect higher price coming.


INTC – INTEL


We can see that the INTC is still bullish. Every dip is a buy. The price is followed by low that the day before volume. Thus this create a question? Will the run sustain? Today will be a good indication / confirmation if the volume increase more than yesterday volume with increase in price. Let wait and see.


EVC – Entravision Commuunications Corp


Yesterday a fan of SGWiseInvestors asked me about EVC. Will it run? I told him to buy at resistance turned support at 6. This must be accompanied with high volume. Indeed it closed off with the two indication. This is a buy signal and we can expect it to meet 6.40 resistance soon.

GPRO - GOPRO


Yesterday a fan of SGWiseInvestors asked me about which stock can he buy. He will like to test on accuracy of ME! I am most confident of GPRO will run because the past few days of DIP has now been reversed with a bullish white candle. This stock is currently range bound. We should see it going up and retest 85 again. However, when u see it closing weak or closing below open price, do get out. The run may be over and see downtrend again.


BABA - ALIBABA


Price is increasing uptrend, however you see volume decreasing. This maybe an indication that the price is not sustainable. 120 may be the tip again and the share may reverse unless we see volume increasing. Currently this share is just being pushed by retailers. We want to follow Smart Money as they are the operator of the counter.


YHOO - Yahoo


YHOO is now consolidating sideway. Well the volume is low with yesterday buy action. Today I will like to see an increase in volume and price going higher. This stock is ready for breakout. We should see volume coming soon. Buying at support 52.50 is a good indication that the resistance has turned support and will be making new high. Short Term Target price is 55.


Good Luck Trading

From SGWiseInvestors.  

Health of Dow Jones and Sectors

Hello Fans of SGWiseInvestors. Good Day to you. Yesterday was a plain day. It started strong and ended with a Doji candle. 

What does 24 Nov 2014 chart says??

DOW JONES



Yesterday action is a battle of the BULL against Bear. From the first chart, DOW JONES is moving to higher low and NYMO shows that there are still room to climb before it dips. Volume does not justify for the move upwards and we will like to see more volume coming in to push the market higher. It is coming to Dec. Do note that Traders are closing their account soon and going for holiday. We can expect market to climb higher with lower volume. This is basically pushed by retailers.



Let's look at the overall health of US market. I got this chart from StockChart and I find that it is a good chart to have to see the overall health of the market. From the chart above, we can see that $INDU (Dow Jones) are improving and it is leading. This is the market where you want to go long.
Do remember to check the health before you trade in that market.


Which Sector is the strongest to Trade?


When a Trader of Swing position like to trade, he will like to know health of the market.
Follow by the sector. Now let me touch on the sector. We can see that the strongest is Health Care, Technology and consumer staples. If the market turn bearish, you should be looking at cyclical and Energy Stock. This is because you will want the maximum gain.

Monday, 24 November 2014

Movement on 24Nov2014

WUBA – 58.com -ACCUMULATION


All SGWiseInvestors fan, this is one stock I will recommend you to buy now. It all about accumulation now. No brainer. I will ask you to but at this price now. WE should be seeing it break 47 soon and soon hit the high of at least 50.


BABA – ALIBABA UP or Down?


BABA is highly going uptrend. I am quite optimistic about this stock. I can see from the above stocks that the body is smaller. Yesterday is a close below the opening price. Bearish. What is the bar telling me today? It is telling me that yesterday down is for more accumulation. SM marks price lower for for buying. This shows that they are likely to push the price higher in no time. One thing worrying me is the decrease in the volume. I did not see big volume coming yet. Thus believe we will be sideway for a while. Sell pressure will be minimal. Even dip, just buy more.


GPRO – GOPRO


If you see my previous blog, I did say that the stock will bounce on Monday. And I am right!
This is a good level to buy support is at around this level. Target price is 85. Start accumulating the stock for coming uptrend.


INTC - INTEL


Yesterday push down of price is for more buying. INTC is likely to reverse and move higher. I hope to see higher volume coming in. This is a fundamentally good stock and technically good chart. We should see it hit 37 or even exceed 38 by year end.


MU - MICRON


Look at the three white soldiers candle. It is impressive. I have indicated in my previous blog that this stock is the one that will run and indeed it run.  It just breakout 35 zone but one thing is lacking! It volume! If volume does not exceed yesterday volume, we may see retracement. Lets wait and see.


AAPL - APPLE


Yesterday down is the accumulation for SM. It is pushing the price higher. It is telling me that yesterday last minute sell down is more upside. Uptrend is intact. I will see it hit 120 soon. More upside to come.

Sunday, 23 November 2014

Dow Jones Movement Forecast

VIX – VOLATILIY CHART


A lot of fans from Stocktwits message me to ask whether if the DOW JONES is up or down next week? I wrote on the forecast on the Dow Jones and advise that Dow is strong and will continue to be stronger till end of the Dec 2014. Given the recent news on Friday that BOE is already executing Assets Buying Program, we can expect market was given a further boost. From the above VIX chart, we can see that RSI is currently 31.04. we can expect stock to go OVERBOUGHT. (ie VIX to go Oversold)
VIX is currently at support and if RSI goes oversold. We will look at the candle and strength behind. The Strategy will be to go Short on Stocks if the bar goes below EMA 10.  Include this in your trading Strategy and will see a big change in your account $$ numbers. Remember this is on MACRO view. Thereafter you should look at which is the sectors that is the strongest, follow why which company is the strongest.

VIX (MACRO View) -> Sector -> company ==รจ to give max gain.


Will DOW Jones Crash? If YES, When??
Short Term

NYSE Composite Index shows that in the Short Term we are going higher. We can see that NYMO has bounce of O and is heading towards 75. Volume increase as price is going higher. This is accompanied with the increase in body of the candle. We can say there are strength behind.

Short Term look shows that there is no divergence and between NYMO and NYA. There are constant buying and we should take note once NYMO reaches 50 to 75. There may be noises behind and creates more dip for buying opportunity. This is the SANTA CLAUS RALLY that I am referring to.


Long Term


The NYSI and NYA is showing chart for long term view. I will use this to predict Crashes. I remember the days in 2007-2008 crash. There are so many optimism on the economy. However NYA and NYSI shows otherwise. It is showing that SM are offloading months before the big crash. I am glad that during that time I am able to spot the offload and get off with small profit else I will only harbor on to hope and all my hard earn money will donate to Smart Money’s pocket.
Above shows that Long Term view there is nothing abnormal behind the scene. The NYA chart shows that the bars increase with high volume. NYSI correspond to the NYA movement. Thus Long Term still bullish at the moment.
Do not listen to Media , Hedge Fund Manager etc saying that Dow Jones are crashing. They work hand in hand to create fear and volatility to the market. This is what I called Trading Psychology. I will like to see the response from my readers if they enjoy my article and if they like me to cover that topic.

For the meantime,
Good Luck, Happy Reading and Best of Luck for Monday Trading.



From SGWiseInvestors